IPL playoffs scenarios: With 8 games remaining, MI have 6.3% chance of making top two — odds for each team explained

With 8 games remaining in the league stage, CSK, RR, SRH, KKR and LSG are already out of contention for the playoffs.

GT, RCB and PBKS are sure to make the playoffs, while MI and DC contend for a spot, with tonight's match between them a must-win for DC.

Go Beyond The Boundary with our YouTube channel.

There remain 256 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet in terms of who finishes where at the end of the league. We look at the probabilities:

We look at the probabilities:



How we arrive at the probabilities:

There are 256 possible combinations of results remaining with 8 games to go. For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied.


We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.

For instance, DC finish tied for second in just 8 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 3.1% chance of being tied for second.